Oil Shocks Are No Longer So Shocking by Nouriel Roubini

Despite this year’s US/Israeli-Iran war causing the largest-ever disruption to global oil supplies, the shocks of the 1970s had a greater impact. Because oil has been used as a weapon for so long, markets, policymakers, and strategists have adapted.
NEW YORK—The Persian Gulf is in an unstable disequilibrium. There has been no lasting deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, because the United States and Iran remain far apart in their demands, with the Iranians holding more leverage than President Donald Trump ahead of the US midterm elections this November. In the absence of a full deal, renewed skirmishing was highly likely, reflected in the growing risk of a return to full-blown warfare.