Effects of Lottery Incentives for Influenza Vaccination: Evidence from a Large-Scale Randomized Trial and Causal Forest Analysis

This month, amid World Cup fever, New York City implemented a new job-protection law. This law forbids app-based rideshare platforms from removing drivers unless they can show they have “just cause” or a “bona fide economic reason.” The new law follows a pattern set by a similar pandemic-era law, also from New York City, which…

Tthe market’s view of artificial intelligence is that one of the big winners will be the model-makers,. after all those are the people who invented it. Markets — at least private markets — have assigned huge valuations to the companies building the models, predominantly OpenAI and Anthropic. The history of great invesntions suggests investors should…

Margaret Chen, Utkarsh Dandanayak, and Arnstein Vestre provided outstanding research assistance. An early draft of this paper was circulated under the title “Linear Supply and Demand in Heterogeneous Markets,” dated November 15, 2024. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic…

The USDCHF has been grinding steadily higher throughout July, adding another modest gain today. The pair is up about 0.21% after recovering from an early European-session dip, with the rebound lifting the price to fresh 2026 highs and its highest level since June 2025. The session high reached 0.8184 so far. That advance has carried…

Central banks are scaling back on the dollar as institutional bullion buying climbs to record highs. In the World Gold Council’s (WGC) latest annual survey of central banks, 83% of respondents expect to increase their gold holdings over the next year. That’s up from 76% in 2025. This surge in demand is due to the…

Innovation Jul 20, 2026 Courtney C. Radsch For too long, governments have stood by and allowed the creation of business models built on the commercial exploitation of users’ personal data and that reward social and psychological manipulation. With the AI industry poised…