Are Mexicans Really Better Off Under Claudia Sheinbaum? by Guillermo Ortiz

For two consecutive years, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has pointed to reductions in extreme poverty to argue that Mexicans are better off today than they were in 2018. But a more holistic look at the available socioeconomic data casts doubt on that rosy picture.

MEXICO CITY—One year ago, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum used her first state-of-the-nation address to offer a confident verdict on the “Fourth Transformation” that began under her mentor, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (widely known as “AMLO”). Mexicans are doing better economically, she claimed, citing a decline in the poverty rate from 41.9% in 2018 to 29.5%, a cumulative 135% real (inflation-adjusted) increase in the minimum wage, and a welfare state whose benefits were reaching 32 million of Mexico’s 133 million people.

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