Why ViaSat Stock Dropped After Earnings

Satellite communications company ViaSat (VSAT -5.87%) stock tumbled 4.5% through 2 p.m. ET Wednesday after reporting mixed earnings last night.

As TheFly.com reports, ViaSat’s fiscal Q1 2027 earnings of $0.17 per share (non-GAAP) were nearly twice the $0.09 per share that analysts expected; however, the company’s revenue fell just short of the predicted $1.2 billion.

1 red arrow going down.

Image source: Getty Images.

ViaSat Q1 earnings by the numbers

Despite the apparent earnings beat, however, not all ViaSat’s news was good. Earnings calculated under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) were negative $52 million — better than last year’s $56 million loss, but still a loss. Sales declined 1% year over year at ViaSat, with communications services revenue flat and defense revenue declining 4%.

But not all the news was bad either. Free cash flow at ViaSat, for example, was positive despite the GAAP loss, with ViaSat generating cash profits of $72 million, a 19% year-over-year increase. ViaSat also took in $1.3 billion in new orders during the quarter, more than it recorded as sales going out the door — and resulting in a positive book-to-bill ratio of 1.08 that implies sales growth will resume in the near future.

Viasat Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(-5.87%) $-5.06

Current Price

$81.10

What’s next for ViaSat stock?

ViaSat noted that over the last 12 months, its total free cash flow generated is $189 million, so the jump to $72 million is significant. Still, even assuming ViaSat can maintain this level of quarterly cash generation going forward, at its current $11.1 billion market capitalization, ViaSat stock trades at nearly 59 times FCF — and that’s before accounting for its $5.2 billion in net debt. Counting that, the company’s enterprise value would be closer to 86 times FCF, which seems expensive to me.

At this price, I fear ViaSat stock looks more like a sell than a buy.

Yesterday, 4:26 PM

Reports Q1 revenue $1.16B, consensus $1.2B.

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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